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The Implementation Guide for Soccer Stats Sheet

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Guide of Soccer Stats Sheet

hi everyone this is Adrienne from Ali's.and today I'm very excited to show you.one more tool that you can use to.increase your batting performance.today's video we're going to show you a.little bit of of the theory behind the.tool that we here at Auto is developed.for you along with the use case for this.tool to help you find value bets and.place winning bets accordingly so let's.get started first the tool that we.developed is based on a fairly well.known statistical distribution it's.called the Poisson distribution and this.is a discrete probability distribution.that expresses the probability of a.given number of events in the game of.football.number of goals scored during a match.occurring in a fixed interval of time or.space.if this occur events occur with an known.constant rate and independently of the.time since the last event based on this.definition of a football game matches.pretty well the Poisson distribution and.you may ask yourself how well this.distribution fares against ball matches.this is an example here on the first.table and on this graph we have the.stats for the Premier League home goals.in 2017 here on the first column is the.numbers of goals per match in the second.column is the actual number of games.where this particular number of goals.were scored by the home team and on the.fourth column we have the number of.games and that should have happened.according to the Poisson distribution so.as you can see the number of matches.where there were no goals scored by the.home team was 86 and the Poisson.distribution predicted let's say 85.obviously during an entire league there.are big differences between teams so the.model may not be.well-suited to represent accurately the.reality of the entire league for this.reason we decided to see how this model.fares against one team so here in the.second table you have the similar data.but for only for Manchester City team.and it includes games played at home.between 2012 and 2017 the differences.between the reality and what the Poisson.distribution model predicted are fairly.close and that can be easily seen on the.graph on the right we have the intuition.here that the Poisson distribution could.be suitable for being used to predict.the number of goals scored by a certain.team during a match.this model is believed by some that it's.used by the big bookmakers to calculate.the initial probabilities and odds for.the matches after looking at the Poisson.distribution and analyzing how viable it.would be to use it as the basis of.football prediction tool we decided to.build a tool that we want to share with.you a tool that we think it will help.your batting performance increase.tremendously so without further ado.let's see the tool this is an excel file.which requires very little input from.your part.you only have to enter the data here in.this section and everything else will.happen automatically on this section in.the left side the tool calculates the.percentages the probabilities of a.certain event to happen and on the right.side it shows the same numbers but.represented as payouts for example on.this side of the screen you have the.chances of the home team to score zero.goals the chances to score 1 2 3 4 5 6.and so on the same for the away team.chances of scoring 0 goals 1 goal 2.goals and so on based on these numbers.the matrix of final scores is calculated.so this is the chance of the match.ending in 0 0 this is the chance of the.game ending in 1 3 and so on and so.forth once we have the probabilities for.each possible final score we can.calculate other additional probabilities.for other types of events here we have.both teams to score yes and no over.under over 0.5 under 0.5 and so on and.so forth we have the probabilities for a.specific end result of the match and.here we have the probabilities for the.double chance on the right side you see.these probabilities converted into.bookmaker pelts basically you see here.what would be the minimum payout that.the bookmaker should offer in order for.you to make a bet so for example zero.zero.they all have to give you at least 16 to.make you place the bet these numbers.here are calculated based on the.probabilities here but also using the.assumed bookmaker margin some bookmakers.have 3% some have 5 and some can go up.to 7 or I don't know maybe even more but.usually that's less than 7 you are able.to find online a way to determine what's.the bookmakers margin on the right side.as you can see besides showing you the.bookmakers payouts that should be.offered in order for you to place a bet.we also have the formulas to calculate.the value of a bet and the Kelly.criterion for that specific bet if you.don't know what the value of the bet is.or Kelly criterion please check out our.article about the Kelly criterion and.the value bets we also have offered an.excel file for free that allows you to.calculate the Kelly criterion for a.specific bet so this is the excel file.what you have to do is provide the.number of average goals scored by the.home team and the average goal scored by.the away team additionally we.implemented an advanced feature for.people that also want to take into.account the average goals conceded by.the home team and the average goals.conceded by the away team in order for.the cost conceded to be taken into.account while calculating all these.probabilities you need to specify how.important the girls conceded are with.respect to the goals scored so for.example here it's 50% this means that.the goals conceded are as important as.the goal scored if I put 33% then it.means the Eagles conceded are half as.important and as the goals scored and so.on and so forth you can even put 100%.and that would mean that the formula.will take into account only the goals.conceded I use 50% for my betting so.we'll keep it that way while looking at.this the obvious question is how do I.calculate the numbers of goals scored or.the balls conceded this is where you as.a professional better have to come forth.and shine I will show you an example of.how I use it for my betting but choosing.how to determine the average calls.scored or conceded is an art and science.at the same time so let me show you.using this match Newcastle versus.Brighton that will take place in October.20th as always when I'm analyzing a.match I filter by the game of the same.type so this will show me for Newcastle.only games played at home and for.Brighton only games played away so to.determine the number of average goals.conceded I sort by a text similarity and.I choose the last five matches that were.similar with respect to two attack so we.have three goals two goals this is five.six seven.seven matches in five games so I go here.and put seven matches in five games now.I go to Brighton and looking at the same.five matches in the past now two four.five five goals in five matches in order.to use the average to determine the.average goals conceded I sort by defense.similarity I also look at the most.similar five matches and I see zero.goals conceded two goals conceded plus.two is four five five so there are five.goals conceded in five matches and the.Brighton side the last five matches.goals conceded two three five seven.so I put seven out of five colors.considered now I entered the data and.now I have everything I need to.calculate the probabilities for this.specific game now as I said on the right.side you have value of the bed and the.Kelly criterion so I usually bet on only.on the end result and I put here the.actual payouts from the bookmakers so.let's say the bookmakers would give me.one point sixty five for a home team.winning it could give me five four point.three for a draw and it would give me.three point eight for the away team.winning and here you see the value of.the bat is calculated this instructs me.to place the bet on the away team.winning and the Kelly criterion will.tell me how much of the betting stake I.should use to place this bet it's 2% so.if I were to have 100 euros on my.betting account.I should put 1.6 euros for this but this.tool that we created is free you can.download it from our website on the link.below if you subscribe to our newsletter.once you're subscribed you will receive.an email with the download link what.else can we say happy betting and see.you next time.

How to generate an electronic signature for the Soccer Stats Sheet online

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How to create an electronic signature for the Soccer Stats Sheet in Gmail?

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The great thing about CocoSign is that it helps you add your esignature the Soccer Stats Sheet in your Gmail, without having any other appliances involved. You can do that using the CocoSign Chrome extension. There are only five simple guides you need to follow to sign your form right in your Gmail account:

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How to create an e-signature for the Soccer Stats Sheet straight from your smartphone?

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How to create an e-signature for the Soccer Stats Sheet on iOS?

Creating an electronic signature on a iPod Touch is not at all complicated. You can sign the Soccer Stats Sheet on your iPhone or iPad, using a PDF file. You will locate the application CocoSign has created especially for iOS users. Just go to try CocoSign.

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  4. Locate the part where you want to include the signature; pick 'Insert initials' and 'Insert signature'.
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After signing, the document is ready for the next step. You can download it to your iPhone and share it. As long as you have a great internet connection, you can sign and send documents in an instant.

How to create an electronic signature for the Soccer Stats Sheet on Android?

iOS has many of users, there's no doubt of that, but most mobile phone users have an Android operating system. To meet the needs, CocoSign has developed the program, especially for Android users.

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To send the signed form, just attach it to an email, and it will reach your receiver in an instant. CocoSign is the best way to sign lots of files every day, all at a cheap cost. It's time to forget all about signing document face-to-face and keep it all electronic.

Soccer Stats Sheet FAQs

Here are the answers to some common misunderstandings regarding Soccer Stats Sheet. Let us know if you have any other doubt.

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